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为了决策多目标水库最优月泄水量,已研制出一个可靠性规划模型,该模型是建立在机遇约束线性规划(CCLP)和动态规划(DP)基础上。在 CCLP 中用机迂约束形式来描述洪水和枯水的可靠性,这些可靠性是随着最小允许水位到最大可能水位值的变化而不同。应用前向二维动态规划法来协调洪水可靠性和枯水可靠性。该模型并不要求洪水或枯水可靠性在全年相同。为了说明可靠性规划方法的应用,对加利福尼亚中心流域工程的福尔逊(Folsom)水库进行模拟。求出调度方案表明在冬季和夏季对洪水和枯水分别具有较高的可靠性,这种可变的风险水平夏季防洪时可以避免不必要弃水,而在冬季抗旱时又可避免不必要的蓄水。
In order to determine the optimal monthly discharge of multi-objective reservoirs, a reliability planning model has been developed based on Opportunistic Constrained Linear Programming (CCLP) and Dynamic Programming (DP). In CCLP, the reliability of flood and dry water is described in terms of machine-bound constraints, which depend on the minimum allowable water level to the maximum possible water level. Application of forward 2D dynamic programming to reconcile flood reliability and low water reliability. The model does not require that flood or dryness reliability be the same throughout the year. To illustrate the use of reliability planning methods, a simulation of the Folsom reservoir in the central California basin project was conducted. Scheduling solutions to show that in winter and summer, respectively, flood and dry water, respectively, with high reliability, this variable level of risk in summer flood control to avoid unnecessary waste water, but in the winter to avoid unnecessary drought Water storage.