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财政紧缩政策难以从根本上解决问题,欧洲经济前景仍面临着高度不确定性和下行风险。欧盟统计局2月1 5日发布数据显示,欧盟及欧元区2011年第四季度国内生产总值(GDP)均环比下降0.3%,这是2009年第二季度以来欧元区经济首次环比萎缩。分析认为,在全球复苏趋缓的背景下,欧洲各国为应对债务危机而实行的紧缩财政,进一步拖累了经济增长,紧缩与增长之间的矛盾随着经济重陷萎缩而不断激化。欧洲经济要在年内重拾增长,必须控制包括希腊问题、银行业问题、政局问题在内的三大风险。
Fiscal austerity is difficult to fundamentally solve the problem, the European economic outlook is still facing a high degree of uncertainty and downside risks. Eurostat data released February 15 shows that the EU and the euro zone gross domestic product (GDP) dropped QoQ in the fourth quarter of 2011 by 0.3%, which is the first quarter of 2009 the euro zone economy since the first quarter of the chain contraction. Analysts believe that under the background of the global recovery slowing down, the austerity measures financed by various European countries to deal with the debt crisis further dragged down economic growth. The contradiction between austerity and growth intensified along with the economic downturn. In order to regain growth during the year, the European economy must control the three major risks including the Greek issue, the banking issue and the political issue.