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提出了进行滑坡时间预报的突变理论及灰色突变理论方法,给出了相应的斜坡稳定性判据及破坏时间预测公式。对新滩滑坡和洒勒山新滑坡的校核分析表明,上述方法是行之有效的。
The catastrophe theory and gray catastrophe theory are put forward to forecast the time of landslide, and the corresponding criterion of slope stability and the predicting method of failure time are given. The verification analysis of the Xintan landslide and the new Zeller Mountain landslide shows that the above method is effective.