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基于中国知网(CNKI)和学术Google主题词为“气候变化”与“森林”的科技文献,根据全国范围的不同区域植被类型,运用整合分析方法就气候变化对森林生态系统的影响进行了系统评估,结果表明:在观测到的影响中,各个区域植被类型的树木物候、森林生产力与森林火灾方面的影响趋势大体相同,但森林地理分布影响趋势存在一定的差异;在预计的可能影响中,各个区域植被类型的树木物候、森林生产力、森林碳储量、森林火灾方面的影响趋势大体相同,但森林地理分布、森林结构方面的影响存在一定的差异。最后对现有研究的不足及未来研究方向等进行了讨论和展望。
Based on the science and technology literature of CNKI and Google with the keywords of “climate change” and “forest”, and based on the different types of vegetation in the whole country, an integrated analysis method is used to analyze the impacts of climate change on forest ecosystem The results showed that: among the observed impacts, the trends of plant phenology, forest productivity and forest fire in different types of vegetation are generally the same, but there are some differences in the trend of forest geographical distribution; The influence trends of tree phenology, forest productivity, forest carbon storage and forest fire may be affected in the different types of vegetation types in different regions, but there are some differences in the influence of forest geography distribution and forest structure. At last, the existing research and the future research direction are discussed and discussed.