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当前全球性的经济危机具有以下特点:积累的矛盾多,释放的强度大,持续的时间长。基于积极的财政政策的4万亿投资计划是在有效需求不足、进出口贸易萎缩条件下的次优选择。经济增长主要依靠投资拉动的格局在短期内难以改变。SWOT态势分析表明,今后几年是我国建筑业转型的好时机。可能的切入点包括:全面推行绿色标准和节能改造;在保障性安居工程中加快工业化进程;在新农村建设中扮演引领者的角色,培养新的增长点;人力资源开发和产业结构调整。
The current global economic crisis has the following features: The contradictions accumulated are numerous, the intensity of release is large, and the duration of the crisis is long. The 4 trillion yuan investment plan based on proactive fiscal policy is the second best choice under the conditions of insufficient effective demand and shrinking import and export trade. The pattern that economic growth depends mainly on investment is hard to change in the short term. SWOT trend analysis shows that the next few years is a good time for China’s construction industry restructuring. Possible starting points include: the full implementation of green standards and energy-saving retrofit; accelerating the process of industrialization in affordable housing projects; the role of leader in developing new rural areas and fostering new growth points; and the development of human resources and the adjustment of industrial structure.