本文基于AP1000核电设备采购风险四阶段管理模型[1],详细阐述了AP1000核电机组主管道设备采购各阶段的管理输入、目标及任务。尤其在风险评估阶段利用定量计算来排序风险概率序值以及影响概率序值,为风险应对策略和措施的选择提供了有效的依据,以确保有限的管理资源得到更为合理的分配和利用。 Based on the four-stage management model of procurement risk for AP1000 nuclear power plant, this paper elaborates on the management inputs, objectives and tasks of each stage of procurement of AP1000 nuclear power plant equipment. In particular, the use of quantitative calculation in the risk assessment phase to rank the risk probability and the probability value of the order of probability provides an effective basis for the selection of risk coping strategies and measures to ensure that the limited management resources are more appropriately allocated and utilized.