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改革开放三十余年来,中国对外贸易与经济增长成绩斐然,而对中国对外贸易与经济增长关系的研究也成为近年来学术界的热点。为探究这一问题,在梳理国内外相关文献,理清对外贸易影响经济增长机制的基础上,利用中国1978-2011年的数据,运用协整检验、Granger因果检验等计量方法,实证检验了对外贸易与经济增长的关系,得出对外贸易推动中国经济健康发展的结论。
In the thirty years since the reform and opening up, China’s foreign trade and economic growth have been remarkable. However, the study on the relationship between China’s foreign trade and economic growth has also become a hot issue in academic circles in recent years. In order to explore this issue, based on the review of domestic and foreign literature and clarification of the mechanism of economic growth that foreign trade affects, this paper empirically tests the data of 1978-2011 in China using the cointegration test and Granger causality test Trade and economic growth, come to the conclusion that foreign trade promotes the healthy development of China’s economy.