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选取黑龙江省13个地级市2000—2010年国内旅游收入、国际旅游收入和各地区生产总值三个指标的面板数据,运用面板协整方法度量黑龙江省各地区旅游收入与经济增长之间的长期协整关系,并对二者关系做格兰杰因果检验,在此基础上揭示黑龙江省旅游经济效应的内部分异规律。研究表明:长期内,黑龙江省内旅游经济效应存在显著地域差异,旅游发展对黑龙江省及哈尔滨、牡丹江等6地市的经济增长起到一定的促进作用,但是带动力度较弱,国内旅游收入对经济增长的作用更明显。同时,哈尔滨等4地市经济增长是国内旅游收入的Granger原因,其经济增长可以推动国内旅游的发展;黑河的国内旅游收入与经济增长互为Granger原因,表明黑河经济增长与国内旅游互相促进。
Panel data of domestic tourism revenue, international tourism revenue and GDP of each region from 2000 to 2010 in 13 prefecture-level cities in Heilongjiang Province were selected. The panel co-integration method was used to measure the relationship between tourism revenue and economic growth in all regions of Heilongjiang Province Long-term co-integration relationship, and Granger causality test of the relationship between the two, on the basis of which reveal the internal differentiation of tourism economy in Heilongjiang Province. The research shows that in the long term, there are significant regional differences in tourism economy in Heilongjiang Province. The development of tourism plays a certain role in promoting the economic growth of Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, Mudanjiang and other 6 cities. However, the driving force is weak. The domestic tourism income The role of economic growth is even more pronounced. Meanwhile, the economic growth of Harbin and other 4 prefectures and cities is the Granger cause of domestic tourism income. Its economic growth can promote the development of domestic tourism. The reciprocal Granger cause between Heihe’s domestic tourism revenue and economic growth shows that economic growth in Heihe and domestic tourism mutually promote each other.