在“商流决定物流、物流支撑商流”的辩证关系下,物流风险的产生一定是由于无法适应下游需求方的需求状况,或者说因商流无法满足下游渠道、终端消费者的需求,而外在的从物流风险中表现出来。因此,物流风险的预警机制,不能由物流企业自身来进行设计,而是需要由渠道商与物流企业、终端消费者与物流企业共同来建立。 Under the dialectical relationship between “business flow decision logistics and logistics support business flow”, the logistics risk must be due to the inability to meet the demand situation of the downstream demand side or the demand of the terminal consumers because the business flow can not meet the downstream channels , While the external from the logistics risk shown. Therefore, the early warning mechanism of the logistics risk can not be designed by the logistics enterprises themselves, but needs to be established jointly by the distributors and the logistics enterprises, end consumers and logistics enterprises.