民国混乱与混战的根源 ,人们已从不同的角度与侧面进行过探讨 ,但较少论及智囊这一团体在其中所起的作用。在中国古代 ,作为一个团体或个别人物 ,智囊颇受人们关注。民国智囊却因其表现欠佳而暗然失色。本文通过对智囊在民初重要政治事件中的幕后策划及其在其中的表现 ,论证民初政治从统一到分裂这一转变过程中 ,智囊充当了助产婆的角色。 The origins of the chaos and the melee in the Republic of China have been explored from different angles and sides, but the role of the think tank has been less discussed. In ancient China, as a group or individual, think tanks have drawn much attention. Republican think tank but because of its poor performance and eclipsed. Through the mastery of the think tank in the important political events in the early Republic of China and its manifestations in this period, this paper argues that the thought-provoking midwife acted as a midwife in the transition from unity to division in the early Republican politics.