论文部分内容阅读
作为著名国情研究专家,胡鞍钢教授在2002年6月受劳动和社会保障部委托,曾做过一份“中国就业与就业政策研究”报告,提出过一些影响政府决策的建言。这份最新国情报告中,胡教授指出:在中国劳动力供给运大于需求的情况下,劳动力市场愈来愈灵活,劳动力流动性愈来愈大,就业竞争就会愈来愈激烈,如同世界上的最大就业战争;从中长期来看,中国城镇可能处在一个较高的失业率水平,如7％～8％甚至更高;正规部门下岗职工实际累计在4000万人以上;中国城镇正在出现“妇女大裁员时代”,约有1100万女性职工下岗;大学本科、专科和高中文化程度者求职就业比例只有71～73％;35～44岁者求职找不到工作的比例为37％;估计2002年城镇实际失业人员约1900万人左右;然而今年实际能够创造的就业岗位可能在400～500万之间。
As a famous expert on national conditions, Professor Hu Angang was commissioned by the Ministry of Labor and Social Security in June 2002 and has done a report titled “Research on China's Employment and Employment Policy” and made a few suggestions on how to influence government decision-making. In the latest national report, Professor Hu pointed out: With the supply of labor in China greater than demand, the labor market has become more flexible and the labor mobility has become more and more intense. The employment competition will become increasingly fierce. As the world's The largest employment war; in the medium and long term, Chinese cities and towns may be at a relatively high level of unemployment, for example, 7% to 8% or more; the actual number of laid-off workers in the formal sector has actually accumulated more than 40 million; and Chinese cities and towns are emerging with “women Large layoffs era, ”about 11 million female workers laid off; university undergraduate, junior college and high school education job seeking employment ratio was only 71 to 73%; 35 to 44 years old job seekers can not find a job was 37%; estimated in 2002 The actual number of unemployed people in urban areas is about 19 million; however, the actual job creation this year may be between 4 and 5 to 5 million.