很多赌客曾猜测,在依据两支足球队实力而定的足球比赛的结果中可能隐藏着某种规律。但是直到现在,这类试图找出其中数学规律的尝试都相当简单:根据统计学家所说的“泊松”模型(以法国数学家泊松命名),用过去的比赛成绩来评估各队的攻击和防守记录。以此来预测某场特定比赛的结果。但是鲁宾逊和马克·狄克逊对7000场英国联赛进行了一次新的分析,所得的结果使研究人员能够建立一个迄今最复杂的模型,它不仅可以预测比赛的最后比分,而且还可以预测比赛时不同时段的比分。鲁宾逊说,所得的数据表明,比赛中的得分时机不是随机的。正如以前假设的一样,随着比赛的进行,得分的可能性越来越大。鲁宾逊说:“原因可能是运动员越来越累,导致防守错误越来越多。”这些数据还表明,得分的多少取决于已有的比分。比如,如果客队领先,那么双方常常会攻入更多 Many gamblers have speculated that some sort of rule may be hidden in the outcome of a soccer match based on the strength of two soccer teams. But until now, these attempts to find one of the mathematical laws were fairly straightforward: from the “Poisson” model (named after the French mathematician Poisson) according to statisticians, the past race results Team attack and defense records. In order to predict the outcome of a particular race. But Robinson and Mark Dixon conducted a new analysis of the 7000 English leagues and the results enabled researchers to create one of the most sophisticated models to date that not only predicts the final score but also predicts Score at different times of the game. Robinson said the data obtained show that the timing of scoring in the game is not random. As previously assumed, as the match progresses, the probability of scoring more and more. Robinson said: “The reason may be more tired athletes, leading to more and more defensive errors. ” The data also show that the number of points depends on the score. For example, if the visiting team leads, then both sides will often scored more